Country report The Netherlands 2019

Country report

  • Netherlands
  • General economic

28th May 2019

In 2019 Dutch export performance is impacted by lower demand from France and Germany, the ongoing Brexit issue and increased global trade uncertainty.



Insolvency improvement trend expected to reverse in 2018

With the economic rebound since 2014, business failures started to decrease annually, declining 8.6% to 4,223 cases in 2018 (including sole proprietorships). However, lower exports and increased economic uncertainty will weigh on GDP growth in 2019, with businesses failures expected to increase 3%.



Slowdown of growth in 2019 due to reduced exports and investments

The economic expansion is expected to slow in 2019 after solid performance in 2017 and 2018. While domestic demand remains robust, both exports and investment growth are forecast to decline.

Exports are impacted by lower demand from France and Germany (which together account for more than 30% of Dutch exports) and increased global trade uncertainty. Trade and investment ties with the UK are very close, and the sectors that could see the biggest impact by Brexit are transport equipment, chemicals, electronics, and food.

That said, in 2019 private consumption continues to benefit from decreasing unemployment and higher disposable household income. However, a potential downside risk would be another deterioration in house prices, given the high level of mortgage debt and banks’ exposure to the housing market. Any major downward correction in the property market would negatively affect household consumption and the stability of the finance sector.





Related documents


The statements made herein are provided solely for general informational purposes and should not be relied upon for any purpose. Please refer to the actual policy or the relevant product or services agreement for the governing terms. Nothing herein should be construed to create any right, obligation, advice or responsibility on the part of Atradius, including any obligation to conduct due diligence of buyers or on your behalf. If Atradius does conduct due diligence on any buyer it is for its own underwriting purposes and not for the benefit of the insured or any other person. Additionally, in no event shall Atradius and its related, affiliated and subsidiary companies be liable for any direct, indirect, special, incidental, or consequential damages arising out of the use of the statements made information herein.